ISW assessed that Russia “does not have sufficient manpower or materiel” to conquer the remainder of Donetsk “while simultaneously continuing offensive operations elsewhere.”“The Kremlin is therefore making demands in negotiations that Ukraine cede the unoccupied parts of

发布时间: 2025-12-27 03:02:11

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ISW assessed that Russia “does not have sufficient manpower or materiel” to conquer the remainder of Donetsk “while simultaneously continuing offensive operations elsewhere.”
“The Kremlin is therefore making demands in negotiations that Ukraine cede the unoccupied parts of
时政
( twitter.com )

14小时前由 Institute for the Study of War 提交

ISW assessed that Russia “does not have sufficient manpower or materiel” to conquer the remainder of Donetsk “while simultaneously continuing offensive operations elsewhere.”

“The Kremlin is therefore making demands in negotiations that Ukraine cede the unoccupied parts of Donetsk Oblast, likely in order to save Russia the personnel and materiel resources and possibly to put Russia in a more advantageous position to re-invade in the future to pursue Putin’s longer-term strategic goal of controlling all of Ukraine,” the assessment went on.

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The persistence of Putin's demands for Ukraine's capitulation demonstrates that Putin is not interested in good-faith negotiations to pursue Trump's stated goal of achieving a lasting peace in Ukraine. ⬇️
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ISW continues to assess that Russia's disproportionately large manpower and materiel losses for marginal territorial gains across the theater are unsustainable in the medium-term and unlikely to result in significant and rapid gains. ⬇️
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NEW: Russian MiG-31 interceptor jets violated Estonian airspace on September 19. ISW continues to assess that Russia is deliberately attempting to gauge NATO’s capabilities and reactions to various air incursions in hopes of applying lessons learned to possible future conflicts
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MORE: ISW continues to assess that Putin, in part, launched his full-scale invasion in order to destroy NATO and seize control of all of Ukraine, and Putin’s original war demands notably include not only demands of Ukraine but of NATO and the West as well.
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